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Cash is trash, Dalio said. Get out of cash. There’s still a lot of money in cash.
You have to have balance … and I think you have to have certain amount of gold in your portfolio
Dalio said, reiterating his call last year that gold will be a top investment in the years to come.
While he endorsed buying a bit of gold, he warned against more speculative investments like bitcoin.
“There’s two purposes of money, a medium of exchange and a store hold of wealth, and bitcoin is not effective in either of those cases now,” Dalio said.
Dalio’s warning for the next five years
Dalio doesn’t think there will be an economic downturn this year and he said investors should look beyond the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
If you get a downturn – and there’s a good probability in the next [presidential] term you’ll get a downturn – and you don’t have effective monetary policy and you have people at each others throats, I’m worried about that, Dalio said.
I would say there’s a 20% chance every year [of a downturn], Dalio added.
He believes the Federal Reserve is now in a position where it can longer stimulate the U.S. economy like has in the past, notably by lowering interest rates.
“You used to push a button and it would go up,” Dalio said.
But if U.S. interest rates continue to fall, and U.S. federal politics remain highly divisive, Dalio worries that the economy won’t be able to bounce back like it has in the past.
We’re going to have larger deficits which we’re going to print money for, Dalio said. At a point in the future, we still are going to think about what’s a storeholder of wealth. Because when you get negative yielding bonds or something, we are approaching a limit that will be a paradigm shift.